I was perusing Coolstandings and noticed their playoff predictions were incredibly accurate. Their calculations correctly predicted almost every series outcome thus far aside from the ALDS series between the Detroit Tigers and New York Yankees. They predicted the correct number of games, but the winner was incorrect. Their only other major miscalculation has been with the St. Louis Cardinals.
National League Divisional Series
Initial prediction: Philadelphia in 4.
Actual outcome: St. Louis in 5.
National League Championship Series
Initial prediction: Milwaukee in 6.
Actual outcome: St. Louis in 6.
Initial prediction: Texas in 6.
Currently: St. Louis 1-0.
Actual outcome: To be determined.
Beyond the Box Score favored the Rangers in similar fashion, but their calculations made a big swing in the Card's favor in light of their victory Wednesday night. Statistically, the Rangers originally were the favorite to win with a 72.2% chance and now their likelihood of winning is down to 56.8%, closer to a coin toss.
|Progressive Likelihood of World Series Victory, Beyond the Box Score|
|Current Likelihood of World Series Outcomes, Beyond the Box Score|